Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000200 0.000222 0.000246 0.000274 0.000306 0.000340 0.000381
2025-02-23 0.000157 0.000189 0.000226 0.000273 0.000332 0.000403 0.000495
2025-03-02 0.000132 0.000168 0.000213 0.000274 0.000356 0.000462 0.000612
2025-03-09 0.000114 0.000152 0.000202 0.000273 0.000374 0.000513 0.000723
2025-03-16 0.000098 0.000135 0.000186 0.000262 0.000374 0.000538 0.000800
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000126 0.000180 0.000263 0.000392 0.000589 0.000921
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000122 0.000180 0.000272 0.000423 0.000662 0.001088
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000113 0.000170 0.000266 0.000427 0.000694 0.001190
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000102 0.000157 0.000253 0.000417 0.000700 0.001248
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000097 0.000154 0.000254 0.000432 0.000751 0.001392
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000095 0.000153 0.000260 0.000456 0.000820 0.001585
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000090 0.000148 0.000258 0.000465 0.000861 0.001728
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000087 0.000146 0.000261 0.000485 0.000930 0.001947
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000082 0.000142 0.000259 0.000496 0.000981 0.002138
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000079 0.000139 0.000259 0.000511 0.001046 0.002375
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000075 0.000135 0.000258 0.000523 0.001104 0.002608
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000247 0.000512 0.001111 0.002712
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000249 0.000529 0.001182 0.003000
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000066 0.000126 0.000258 0.000563 0.001302 0.003450
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000063 0.000121 0.000252 0.000563 0.001336 0.003662
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000058 0.000113 0.000239 0.000544 0.001319 0.003722
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000056 0.000111 0.000240 0.000560 0.001395 0.004083
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000055 0.000112 0.000246 0.000587 0.001508 0.004596